level 5 comments

I have always been an unusual person

one who did not fit into conventional society

and one who has always thought outside of the box

I did not do well with that when I was young

started doing better with it when I was in my twenties

and really well with it starting in my thirties when I walked away from conventional society

shortly after I walked away from conventional society you tried to recruit me for the first time

but I did not accept then

I have learned a lot in the meantime

I am now 53

so it has been 20 years on my new path

and as a result of everything I learned –

starting in my early twenties when I became a U.S. citizen and had to take a civics class to do so –

I expressed skepticism about what Mark is trying to do to change the laws of the country

I indicated in my response to level four that some of what he relentlessly talks about in his books simply can’t be done

and as expressed at the end of that response

that is why I am skeptical about his clubhouses

I know Americans desperately want the political things to be done

and that is why they are so enthusiastic about Mark’s efforts

but they are simply unaware that they can’t be done

the law does not support them

it would take a revolution

overturning the system and therefore the laws

to get it done

but that is precisely what Mark says he does not want

he wants to do it peacefully

but Mark put his theory

his proposal

together based on partial, incomplete information

and what I know proves it cannot be done

at least not the way he wants to do it

and he will not like the way it will actually happen

neither will most other Americans

As noted above I became a U.S. citizen in my early twenties

after being in this country for nearly twenty years

I then started paying more attention to American society at the detail level and did not like what I saw

I walked away when I was thirty, but from society, I stayed in the country

I later found out that I did not lose my Canadian citizenship when I became a U.S. citizen

so I still have it

I was born in Canada to German parents

I am a German first, though not a citizen because my parents chose to become Canadian citizens before I was born,

including being fluent in the German language,

I am a Canadian second,

and an American third

maybe that is why I am more realistic about what can be done and what can’t be done

it may also help

that my parents lived through Hitler in Germany

so they know what really bad times can be like

they were born in the 1920s and grew up under Hitler

and all our family friends here in the states and Canada

are actually people who became refugees from the lost eastern territories at the end of the war

they lost everything and had to start completely over

but we did not my parents came from the west of Germany

they just left for Canada

and met there and did not get around to going back to Germany as planned

because they were tired of living in bombed out Germany after the war

and wanted to see something new

they were in their twenties and adventurous

but we did not hit really good times until we came to the states

and dad got a really good job that took advantage of all his skills and training

he could not do that where he ended up in Canada

it was too small a city

still is

and our friends who still live there

who are still our closest friends ever

are also refugees from the east of Germany

who lost everything

but were able to build up well where they are

because he was trained as a carpenter

and started his own business in construction and renovation

they had just started that business, successfully, when we left

so they decided to stay

they still live in the same house that they bought more than 50 years ago

a place that is like a second home to me

they are also the people who served as my reference when I got a Canadian passport again

the Canadian government did not even bother to call my second reference

Canadian citizens here in the states who never became U.S. citizens

and who were also refugees from the east of Germany who lost everything and who we met in Canada and who followed us to the states

because the Canadian government knew I was for real when they called our friends in Canada

in Saskatchewan where I was born

and those friends immediately acknowledged that they know me

have known me since I was born

and recommended me for active passport status (my previous passport had expired long ago)

(those friends have the same opinion of me that you say in your letters you do)

I had my passport a few weeks later

it always takes longer to get the passport if one is applying from outside the country that the passport is for

but my main point here is that the people I just mentioned

and others I did not mention

including the German refugees we met in Saskatchewan who ended up in the states and then brought us here

all have horrific stories

all of which I know

and lost everything on top of all the horror stories they can tell

people like them know bad times

and I have heard the stories too

so my perspective is very different from the typical American

and that is why I know that some of what Mark wants to do

that most Neothink members are very enthusiastic about

simply can’t be done

what you wrote in your letters to me

which started in March 2013

which does not match what is in Mark’s books

except sometimes at the very end

is what is going to happen

apparently I knew that long before you did

because of my background

I will add that your videos are not helpful because they are from before the new direction I sense came into being

so I am not really in a position to evaluate that because I do not have enough information

by the way I will add I know Seattle well I lived in the area for 15 years and drove through Seattle many times and also drove around in town many times to get to places there,

mainly Belltown/Lake Union where the Space Needle is also located and the Green Lake area,

which are on either side of the ship canal

also by the way

I have found that the vast majority of Americans cannot handle any negativity

that is why when I found out in July 2001 about the law against recessions passed by Congress in 1978

and patched it into the Kondratieff wave

which I was an expert in in the meantime and still am

I realized that the American authorities would simply push the system as hard as they could

as far as they can

until it just cant be pushed anymore

which the Kondratieff wave virtually ensures is a point that we will reach

and we are close to that in the meantime

and then the system will crash

and then most Americans will be experiencing maximum negativity

by the way look upon the Kondratieff wave as a process

it is not something that happens in a specific number of years

that is why I was able to predict the downturn of 2008 in July 2001

when I found out about the law against recessions passed by Congress in 1978

which is called Humphrey-Hawkins

you can look it up yourself if you want to

I found out about it on the internet

before the internet was public I would not have been able to find out about it

the law expired in summer 2000

a year before I found out about it

and that is why I was able to find out the following

which I found out from another internet entry just after I found out about the law itself

namely

that when the law expired

the American authorities decided they liked the results of the enforcement of the law up to that time

basically up through the end of the 1990s

so much that they decided to continue to enforce the law indefinitely into the future

permanently

I knew that can’t be done

and so I immediately predicted a major stock market AND economic downturn

unlike what happened in the early 2000s when only the stock market went down a lot

for sometime in 2007-2010

the downturn happened right about in the middle of my anticipated time-frame

bullseye

and I also predicted that that downturn would be followed by a very slow recovery

and that would be followed by a major new downturn

that will at least ultimately,

if not already sooner rather than later,

be much worse than the downturn of 2008-2009

we are now in the transition between the slow upturn and the major new downturn

either just past the peak or just ahead of it

maybe even right in it

and I was able to make these predictions

two of the three of which have been successful already

and the setup for the third of which is in fact in place in the meantime

because the entire process I just described is part of an even bigger process that I am aware of

that is why I said above that Marks theory, his proposal,

is based on partial, incomplete information

my info is something that most Americans are completely unaware of

and don’t even want to know about

because it involves negative information

the Kondratieff wave consists of four phases

growth, stagnation, plateau, and depression

we are transitioning from the plateau phase of our current Kondratieff wave to the depression phase

the plateau phase of our current Kondratieff wave started in 1982

nominally it should have ended with the crash of 1987

but the central bank kept things going this time

under those circumstances it should have ended at the beginning of 2000 when the stock market went exponential

the stock market crashed but the economy did not

that set us up for the crash of 2008

but bear markets happen in three phases down up down

we have had the first down part 2008-2009

the up part since 2009

the second down part is still to come

notice how much harder it is as time goes on since 2000 for the central bank to keep things going?

how much harder the central bank has to fight every time it has to get things going again or keep things going?

this is no coincidence

we should have gone into a depression in the year 2000

because we did not the first salvo came in 2008

the second salvo is still to come

in effect we have been in a gigantic transition from the plateau phase of our current Kondratieff wave to the depression phase since 2000

I think we are at the tail end of that transition

by the way the depression has to happen for the next true growth phase to be able to happen

the plateau phase is a lower real growth phase after the partial downturn, the stagnation phase, that follows the growth phase

it takes the depression to clean things out enough that a new solid growth phase can begin

the growth phase of our current Kondratieff wave was from the late 1940s to the late 1960s

but arguably from 1933 onward

the stagnation phase of our current Kondratieff wave was the 1970s until 1982

and, no, economists in the English-speaking world do not have a clue about any of this

the economists of the English-speaking world, which is British-based, only want to concentrate on avoiding recessions

so they do not accept the Kondratieff wave

I realized a long time ago that the psychology of the Kondratieff wave is such that it is real and cannot be avoided

mass psychology is such that it will play itself out in the end even if there are attempts at preventing that from happening

as there have been this time

the central banks will simply ultimately not succeed

how do I know?

because although my degree is in electronics engineering and computer hardware and software

I also studied economics in college

and then found out about Austrian economics after college

and studied that

I have also studied psychology extensively in the meantime informally

especially mass psychology

but not formally

although I do have some courses from Teaching Company

now called Great Courses

that I have not had time to watch yet

hopefully sometime soon

Mark says in his books that he does not know much about economics

I do

and I long ago embraced Austrian economics

as Dr. Wallace did sometime in his life as well

and that is why Dr. Wallace made the prediction that he did

which was wrong because he did not know about the law against recessions

I was making the same prediction as Dr. Wallace until I found out about the law against recessions in July 2001

then I made the prediction I stated above

which turned out to be accurate and successful

as I knew it would be all along once I made it

because I knew what was really driving the issue

Mark admits in the video that he is not a psychologist

I am

and contrary to the belief of the English-speaking-world economists economics is ultimately also driven by psychology, not mathematical models and equations

by the way I am also extensively and formally trained in math so I have a perspective on that too

and the fact that I have the insight that English-speaking-world economists do not is what enabled me to make the predictions discussed above

predictions which were successful

or will be, the one that has not happened yet, because the setup has come into being and is there in the meantime as I knew it eventually would be

but most Americans can’t handle that and don’t want to know

because it involves negativity

and that is another reason why I am skeptical of the clubhouses

as I have noted before already for other reasons